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Weekly Market Commentary

Refinancing ZIRP | Weekly Market Commentary | February 24, 2025
The U.S. Treasury market is entering a significant transition period in 2025, facing both structural adjustments and all-too-familiar policy discussions. As the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) shift from a zero interest-rate policy (ZIRP) coincides with a substantial $7.5 trillion refinancing cycle, markets are also preparing for another round of debt ceiling negotiations.

Tariffs Ignite a Metals Melt-Up | Weekly Market Commentary | February 18, 2025
Stocks continued to climb the wall of worry last week and shrugged off tariff headlines, inflation volatility, and signs of a slowdown in retail spending.

Key Pillars of the Bull and Bear Cases in 2025 | Weekly Market Commentary | February 10, 2025
Expected continued steady economic growth should enable corporate America to grow profits at or near a double digit pace in 2025.

U.S. Exceptionalism: Is It Still Intact? | Weekly Market Commentary | February 3, 2025
With China’s DeepSeek pressuring investors to take a closer look at the current environment of artificial intelligence (AI) development within the U.S., some are taking a moment to question the accuracy of a much larger idea — American Exceptionalism.

Is the Bond Market Worried About Inflation? | Weekly Market Commentary | January 27, 2025
The Federal Reserve (Fed) cut interest rates last September and, to date, the central bank has lowered rates by 1%. But over the same period, long-term Treasury yields are higher by 1% (per the 10-year Treasury yield).