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on February 15, 2026 at 12:57 pmMost people will use the same Social Security number their entire lives, though some people might need to apply for a replacement number at some point because of identity theft.
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Take two snowballs and call me in the morning?
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Weekly Market Commentary
U.S. Exceptionalism: Is It Still Intact? | Weekly Market Commentary | February 3, 2025
With China’s DeepSeek pressuring investors to take a closer look at the current environment of artificial intelligence (AI) development within the U.S., some are taking a moment to question the accuracy of a much larger idea — American Exceptionalism.
Is the Bond Market Worried About Inflation? | Weekly Market Commentary | January 27, 2025
The Federal Reserve (Fed) cut interest rates last September and, to date, the central bank has lowered rates by 1%. But over the same period, long-term Treasury yields are higher by 1% (per the 10-year Treasury yield).
New Year, Same Bull Market? | Weekly Market Commentary | January 13, 2025
As the new year officially gets underway, there’s the usual sense of renewed optimism and excitement over new opportunities.
Evaluating Stock and Bond Market Predictions From 2024 | Weekly Market Commentary | January 6, 2025
With 2024 fully behind us, it’s a good time to celebrate our winning calls from last year while also reviewing some mistakes to learn from them and improve our process. The good news is we got more right than wrong last year, but there were some misses. Some course corrections helped. Perhaps the most impactful decision we made was to recommend investors stay fully invested in equities at benchmark levels throughout the entire year despite expecting a stock market pullback around Election Day.
Keys to Stock Market Gains in 2025 | Weekly Market Commentary | December 30, 2024
As 2024 draws to a close, investors have fully embraced the stock market. The S&P 500 is up more than 25% year to date. The broader Russell 3000 Index is up 24%. The Nasdaq Composite is up over 31%. Even the laggards are up double-digits with 12% and 14% advances for the small cap Russell 2000 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Volatility was low, with a maximum peak-to-trough decline for the S&P 500 of 8.5% (the long-term average max drawdown is over 13%). As we turn our attention to 2025, the supports of the past year largely remain in place, but some additional pillars have been added as we discuss below.